Angmarred wrote:

That math works when looking at the scenario overall but in practice it doesn't quite play out that way. Once the first package is opened, if it doesn't have the heirloom, the second package had a 1/6 chance, higher than the 14% you state. So the real strategy is to not give your opponent the chance to open the last package. Basically don't open one unless you control two.

Perhaps I was unclear, in 14% of all games the heirloom will be in the second place searched. Is that more clear?

Yes the heirloom will be in the second place 1/6 of the time *if it isn't in the first place*. But since it will sometimes be in the first place it will be in the second place less than 1/6 of the time.